Social Media Cover Art

This week we want to keep an eye on two matches. No. 3 BYU plays No. 2 Long Beach twice this week, on Friday and Saturday, in Long Beach. Long Beach actually jumped BYU in the AVCA Coaches Poll this week adding to the intrigue of these matches. There have been no common opponents between the two teams, giving us very little insight into how these matches will shape up, but here is what we do know:


BYU has convincing wins against fifth-ranked Loyola and then-fourteenth-ranked George Mason while taking No. 8 Stanford to five sets twice last week, splitting the two matches. Long Beach, on the other hand, is undefeated while playing great volleyball but only facing one team rated in the top 15. While this appears to be a great matchup to watch, our statistics tell us a different story. The season is young, allowing us a small, and arguably biased, data set to work with, but so far Long Beach appears to be the far better team. Here is how this matchup looks from our ratings.



Keep in mind that these statistics don’t factor in opponent’s ability. Because BYU’s schedule has included higher rated teams, BYU’s score has probably been impacted more negatively from playing high-quality teams than Long Beach has. This can be seen by referring to the average opponent rating for each team in the table above. Three out of BYU’s four matches have been against teams rated higher than Long Beach’s highest rated opponent. BYU doesn’t appear to have a great chance when looking purely at the statistics, but when you remember to factor in schedule difficulty, things probably balance out a little. We don’t really expect the match to be this unbalanced, but BYU traveling to Long Beach does appear daunting. Later in the season, after teams have played common opponents, the ratings will become a better prediction of match outcome. For now, we’ll just have to see how this week turns out.


Bri Hintze

Bri Hintze

Director of Marketing


  • An Open Letter From Giuseppe Vinci

    An Open Letter From Giuseppe Vinci

    An open letter to VolleyMetrics family and friends—and every person out there with a passion. Today is a big day for all of us: VolleyMetrics signed a formal agreement to be acquired by Hudl, the global leader in sports video and analysis. As formal as our announcement may sound, this was a very natural decision once I saw how a partnership with Hudl could increase our ability to improve the …
  • Men’s Conference Tournament Breakdowns

    Men’s Conference Tournament Breakdowns

    This past week, the MPSF and the MIVA started their conference tournaments, and now, the EIVA and Conference Carolinas will begin theirs. For this blog post, we will break down some analysis for the four teams in each of these conferences, as well as each team’s probability in winning their conference tournament. We will also include the VolleyMetric ratings on each team. Note that the team that is bolded is …
  • Men’s Match of the Week 15 & MPSF/MIVA 1st Round Predictions

    Men’s Match of the Week 15 & MPSF/MIVA 1st Round Predictions

    This week, the MPSF and the MIVA will begin their tournaments, while the EIVA and Conference Carolinas will finish their last week of the regular season. Long Beach State and BYU are the top two teams in the MPSF, while Ohio State and Lewis are the top teams in the MIVA. We have displayed the ratings for each team in each of these tournaments, as well is their first round …
  • Match of the Week – Week 14

    Match of the Week – Week 14

    This will be the last Match of the Week for the regular season, as most teams are finishing up their season this week. As we look at the AVCA rankings, Long Beach State is the new number one team in the country following Ohio State’s lost to Penn State earlier last week. It’ll be interesting to see how things finish up this week and how seeding will work out going …
  • Analysis Shows an Increase of Serves Leads to a Higher Win Percentage

    Analysis Shows an Increase of Serves Leads to a Higher Win Percentage

    In the last few weeks, our statisticians at VolleyMetrics have been analyzing matches and trying to find a skill or stat that is highly correlated to winning a match. We’ve analyzed attacking efficiency, side out percentage, and many others, but they have finally found the highest correlation: serving. Serving is one of the most basic skills in volleyball. Every point begins with a serve, and teams can get a big …