With just a few weeks left in the season, teams will be fighting for the top spots in their conferences heading into their tournament. This week, we have #3 BYU hosting #4 Hawaii for two matches this weekend. Both teams have clinched a spot in the MPSF tournament already, but they are currently fighting for the #2 spot. Hawaii is 10-2 in the MPSF, while BYU is slightly better at 11-1, so things can easily change in positioning for the tournament depending on how this match up ends. Hawaii will be heading into Provo with a 15 game win streak, and a 10 game win streak of straight set match wins. BYU has a win streak of their own at 11, so it’ll be interesting to see if one of these teams can keep their streak alive. Below, we have our VolleyMetric Ratings to compare these two powerhouses:

VolleyMetrics Ratings
Team Serve Pass Attack Block Dig Set Overall SOS Win %
Brigham Young 9.38 6.96 5.83 6.20 5.01 6.62 5.94 5.78 57.35%
Hawaii 3.82 7.41 5.92 6.47 5.08 6.37 5.95 5.78 42.65%
League Overall 4.8 7.1 4.98 5.97 4.97 5.66 5.61 5.62

The rating comparison of these two teams show some major similarities and differences. In the first skill, we can see that BYU is a much better serving team than Hawaii. In our ratings, BYU is the best serving team in the country. As far as passing goes, Hawaii has a large advantage on BYU. They are a very good passing team, and BYU performs below the league average in this skill. Their other skills are very similar, but Hawaii does have the slight advantage in attacking and blocking which are two key skills in this match up. As we look at the overall score, Hawaii has the advantage as well. An important attribute our predictions take account for in our model is home court advantage. So even though Hawaii is the slightly better team, it will give BYU the advantage. BYU is currently 9-1 at home, so BYU tends to perform better with this advantage. Below are graphics to display each team’s scorings and skill efficiencies.

In the overall scoring comparison, you can see where each team excels. BYU scores an amazing 9% of their points from service aces. On the other hand, Hawaii scores an outstanding 11% of their points from block stuffs. Both teams are identical in points coming from their kills, opponent errors, and other categories. In the points breakdown graphic, both teams are almost equivalent in FBSO% and SO%. The separation occurs in PS% and FBPS% where Hawaii has a significant advantage. It will be interesting to see if Hawaii can control the flow of the game with their serves with this advantage.

In the hitting efficiency line graph from up above, the teams are very similar in their variety. BYU is hitting .322, while Hawaii is hitting slightly better at .334. Aside from a few matches, both teams have been pretty consistent with their hitting efficiencies, so expect both teams to perform the same this weekend. Tune in this Friday and Saturday to watch these two teams face off and battle for a higher seed in the MPSF tournament.



Corley Bagley

Corley Bagley

Director of Analytics


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