For our match this week, we will analyzing a match up between two teams trying to sneak into the MPSF playoffs: #11 USC and #15 UCSB. These teams are currently tied for the 8th spot at 5-9, so this match could be a big determinant of whether they make it into the playoffs. These two teams faced off at the beginning of the season, where Santa Barbara defeated USC in 3 matches in Santa Barbara. USC will have the home court advantage this match up, and will be coming into the match with momentum as they have won their last five games, one of which was against #7 Lewis. Below, we have displayed the ratings for each of these teams:

VolleyMetrics Ratings
Team Serve Pass Attack Block Dig Set Overall SOS Win %
Southern California 0.88 7.29 4.81 6.25 5.11 5.9 5.7 5.79 62.21%
UC Santa Barbara 5.14 7.46 5 6.41 4.94 6.42 5.72 5.68 37.79%
League Overall 4.8 7.1 4.98 5.97 4.97 5.66 5.61 5.62

 
Our ratings show some strong points and flaws for each team. In serving, USC is rated a 0.88. They are the worst rated serving team in the country and have a error to ace serving ratio of 3.85. They also underperform in the attack rating, where they are hitting far below the league average. One thing to note is their strength of schedule rating, which is a 5.79. Our ratings show that they have the second hardest schedule of any team in the country. Ten of their first eleven matches were against ranked opponents, and they have only played five unranked opponents this season, so it is very impressive that they have won eleven matches this year. For UCSB, their ratings are all above the league average. Their most impressive skill is their passing, where they rank number two in the country. They perform very well in side out situations, which can be seen in the charts below. Overall, these two teams are rated very similarly. Serving is not a big factor in our overall rating, but SOS is, which is why USC is not too far behind UCSB. Because the Trojans will have the home court advantage and because of the success they have been having in their last several match ups, our ratings have USC defeating UCSB in this match.

In the two graphs above, we can see the offensive comparison between the two teams and some similarities. In the overall scoring comparison, we can see how each team typically scores their points. They both do a great job at forcing their opponents to commit errors and are identical when it comings to scoring off block stuffs. It is interesting to see how many points USC scores on attacking even though they are not a great attacking team. UCSB is not too far behind, scoring 55% of their points from kills. They also have more scoring coming from aces than USC. In the other graph, we can see the Santa Barbara out performs USC in each points breakdown. Just like we mentioned before, UCSB does a great job at siding out because of their receptions. They also point score very well.

In our hitting efficiency graph, you can see that UCSB is some what consistent in their hitting, while USC is all over the place. UCSB is the better hitting team, as shown here on this graph and in our ratings above. Santa Barbara has a hitting efficiency of .267, while Southern California only has an efficiency of .231. To give you an idea on how good these efficiencies are, the league average is .254, so USC is far below the average, while UCSB is above it. These two teams will face off this Friday in Los Angeles, so be sure to watch as these two teams battle to make it into the MPSF tournament.
 



 

SHARE THIS

Corley Bagley

Corley Bagley

Director of Analytics

VolleyMetrics

  • Men’s Conference Tournament Breakdowns

    Men’s Conference Tournament Breakdowns

    This past week, the MPSF and the MIVA started their conference tournaments, and now, the EIVA and Conference Carolinas will begin theirs. For this blog post, we will break down some analysis for the four teams in each of these conferences, as well as each team’s probability in winning their conference tournament. We will also include the VolleyMetric ratings on each team. Note that the team that is bolded is …
  • Men’s Match of the Week 15 & MPSF/MIVA 1st Round Predictions

    Men’s Match of the Week 15 & MPSF/MIVA 1st Round Predictions

    This week, the MPSF and the MIVA will begin their tournaments, while the EIVA and Conference Carolinas will finish their last week of the regular season. Long Beach State and BYU are the top two teams in the MPSF, while Ohio State and Lewis are the top teams in the MIVA. We have displayed the ratings for each team in each of these tournaments, as well is their first round …
  • Match of the Week – Week 14

    Match of the Week – Week 14

    This will be the last Match of the Week for the regular season, as most teams are finishing up their season this week. As we look at the AVCA rankings, Long Beach State is the new number one team in the country following Ohio State’s lost to Penn State earlier last week. It’ll be interesting to see how things finish up this week and how seeding will work out going …
  • Analysis Shows an Increase of Serves Leads to a Higher Win Percentage

    Analysis Shows an Increase of Serves Leads to a Higher Win Percentage

    In the last few weeks, our statisticians at VolleyMetrics have been analyzing matches and trying to find a skill or stat that is highly correlated to winning a match. We’ve analyzed attacking efficiency, side out percentage, and many others, but they have finally found the highest correlation: serving. Serving is one of the most basic skills in volleyball. Every point begins with a serve, and teams can get a big …
  • Men’s Match of the Week – Week 12

    Men’s Match of the Week – Week 12

    For this week’s match of the week, we will take a look at the number one team in the country, Long Beach State, as they travel to face the number three team in the country, BYU. Interesting enough, these two teams are not just two of the top three teams in the country, but they are the number one and two team in the MPSF. Currently, Long Beach has a …