Today kicks off the 2016 NCAA Women’s Volleyball Tournament. 64 teams have been selected and are looking to bring home the championship. The #1 seeds this year are Nebraska, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Texas, with Wisconsin being the only team not making the Final 4 last year. Here at VolleyMetrics, we have ran our predictions on each matchup and have created a bracket based on predictions of who our statistics say will win the Tournament. Below are our predictions:
bracket

Our predictions have Nebraska winning the tournament, which align with our VolleyMetric ratings that rank Nebraska as the best team. They only lost two matches this year, and both the of matches went to a 5th game. By far Nebraska has the best chance of winning the whole tournament at 38.8%, which is much higher than Florida’s 9.25%, the next highest predicted winning percentage. Below is a table showing each team’s chance of winning it all based on the teams they might have to face during the tournament. Also included are predictions of potential Cinderella teams in the tourney, and which favored teams might be going home earlier than expected.

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Hawaii will be a team to look our for during the tournament. The have a 7.49% chance of winning the tournament, and a 35.16% chance of making the Elite 8. Coastal Carolina is also an unexpected team that could go far in the tournament. On the other hand, highly ranked teams like Minnesota and Kansas might not escape the first two rounds, even with the home court advantage.

Tune in December 1st to catch the first few matches of the tournament!

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Corley Bagley

Corley Bagley

Director of Analytics

VolleyMetrics

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